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What are the best pollsters in America? - ABC News
https://abcnews.go.com/538/best-pollsters-america/story?id=105563951
WEBJan 25, 2024 · Most pollsters score between a 1.9 and 2.8, representing what we see as America's core block of good pollsters. Pollsters between 1.5 and 1.9 stars are decent, but they typically score poorly on ...
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Pollster Ratings | FiveThirtyEight
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
WEBFeb 22, 2024 · 538’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy and methodological transparency of each polling organization’s polls. We define accuracy as the average adjusted error...
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National Polls | FiveThirtyEight
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/national/
WEB6 days ago · Poll type. State. Sort by date. Added. Surveyed. Polls ending April 9, 2024. President: general election, 2024. April 8, 2024. President: general election, 2024. April 7, 2024. President:...
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The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/2022-election-polling-accuracy/
WEBMar 10, 2023 · Polls were historically accurate in 2021-22. Weighted-average error of polls in the final 21 days* before presidential primary and presidential, Senate, House and gubernatorial general...
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We’ve Updated Our Pollster Ratings Ahead Of The ... - FiveThirtyEight
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/weve-updated-our-pollster-ratings-ahead-of-the-2020-general-election/
WEBMay 19, 2020 · Among online pollsters, YouGov — whose online methodology is more proven than most — excelled with a 7.6-point error, almost matching Monmouth’s accuracy. The pollster with the highest ...
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What Pollsters Have Changed Since 2016 - FiveThirtyEight
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-pollsters-have-changed-since-2016-and-what-still-worries-them-about-2020/
WEBOct. 13, 2020 , at 6:00 AM. What Pollsters Have Changed Since 2016 — And What Still Worries Them About 2020. By Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich. Filed under 2020 Election. ILLUSTRATION BY...
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A look at national polling accuracy | Pew Research Center
https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2022/09/21/does-public-opinion-polling-about-issues-still-work/
WEBSep 21, 2022 · By Courtney Kennedy, Andrew Mercer, Nick Hatley and Arnold Lau. The 2016 and 2020 presidential elections left many Americans wondering whether polling still works. Pre-election polls in both years struggled to capture the strength of support for former President Donald Trump and other Republican candidates.
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Frustrated With Polling? Pollsters Are, Too - The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/10/24/opinion/frustrated-with-polling-pollsters-are-too.html
WEBOct 24, 2022 · Pollsters Are, Too - The New York Times. “What is error? How are we defining errors?” • “Do I feel like there is a doomsday clock ticking?
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A Closer Look at a Slight Shift in the Polls - The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/13/upshot/biden-trump-polls.html
WEB5 days ago · A table of 16 pollsters shows Biden/Trump poll results before and after State of the Union address, along with percentage point change. On average, Trump led by 2 percentage points before the ...
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What polling does — and doesn’t — tell us | PBS NewsHour
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/your-guide-to-understanding-polls
WEBSep 9, 2022 · Polls are powerful – they can influence emotions and shape political fortunes. They can be used to drum up support for campaigns and reveal how closely aligned (or far apart) the general public...
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