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100*(Real Gross Domestic Product-Real Potential Gross Domestic ... - FRED
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=f1cZ
Web ResultUnits: Billions of Chained 2017 Dollars, Not Seasonally Adjusted. Frequency: Quarterly. Real potential GDP is the CBO’s estimate of the output the economy would produce with a high rate of use of its capital and labor resources. The data is adjusted to remove the effects of inflation.
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Real Potential Gross Domestic Product - FRED | St. Louis Fed
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GDPPOT
Web ResultFeb 8, 2024 · Frequency: Quarterly. Real potential GDP is the CBO’s estimate of the output the economy would produce with a high rate of use of its capital and labor resources. The data is adjusted to remove the effects of inflation.
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Understanding Potential GDP and the Output Gap | St. Louis Fed
https://www.stlouisfed.org/open-vault/2021/august/understanding-potential-gdp-and-output-gap
Web ResultAug 4, 2021 · This FRED chart from Wolla’s article plots real potential GDP and actual real GDP using data from the CBO and Bureau of Economic Analysis. (Real GDP allows for a clearer picture of economic growth by stripping out the effects of inflation.) What the Output Gap Tells Us about Business Cycles.
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PAGE ONE Economics - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
https://files.stlouisfed.org/research/publications/page1-econ/2021/05/03/minding-the-output-gap-what-is-potential-gdp-and-why-does-it-matter_SE.pdf
Web ResultMay 3, 2021 · The Output Gap Expressed in Constant Prices, 1947-2021 SOURCE: FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=Cj73, accessed April 1, 2021. PAGE ONE Economics ® Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis | research.stlouisfed.org 5
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Minding the Output Gap: What Is Potential GDP and Why Does It …
https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/page1-econ/2021/05/03/minding-the-output-gap-what-is-potential-gdp-and-why-does-it-matter
Web ResultMay 3, 2021 · The difference between actual output and potential output is called the output gap, which is expressed as a percentage of potential output (see the boxed insert). The short-run fluctuations of actual output around potential output determine the business cycle —economic expansions and contractions, or …
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The Taylor Rule | FRED Blog - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2014/04/the-taylor-rule/
Web ResultApr 24, 2014 · Here, we measure the output gap as the difference between potential output (published by the Congressional Budget Office) and real GDP. Inflation is measured by changes in the CPI, and we use a target inflation rate of 2%. We also assume a steady-state real interest rate of 2%.
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Minding the Output Gap: What Is Potential GDP and Why Does It …
https://www.stlouisfed.org/education/page-one-economics-classroom-edition/minding-the-output-gap
Web ResultMinding the Output Gap: What Is Potential GDP and Why Does It Matter? Potential output is an estimate of what the economy could produce. Actual output is what the economy does produce. If actual is below potential a negative output gap there is “slack” in the economy.
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Monetary Policy and the Output Gap - St. Louis Fed
https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/economic-synopses/2014/12/19/monetary-policy-and-the-output-gap/
Web ResultDec 19, 2014 · With inflation currently close to its 2 percent annual target, the large negative output gap is driving the Taylor rule to zero: As of 2014:Q3, output per capita is roughly 15 percent below its pre-Great Recession trend (see …
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The Fed - Real-time Historical Estimates of the Output Gap
https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/real-time-historical-estimates-of-the-output-gap-20191015.html
Web ResultOct 15, 2019 · The estimate of output gap is defined as the percent difference between actual and potential output. For all the vintages from 1996 to 2013, output stands for the BEA's estimate of gross domestic product (GDP). Return to text. 3.
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Measuring Potential Output - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
https://files.stlouisfed.org/files/htdocs/publications/economic-synopses/2018/09/28/measuring-potential-output.pdf
Web ResultSep 28, 2018 · One of the goals of stabilization policy is to reduce the output gap—the difference between potential and actual output during downturns. Potential output, however, is an unobserved variable whose definition can vary. In fact, decades of academic research have failed to converge on a single measure of …
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